There are still way too many games left to accurately predict where the final seedings will end up, but some things are starting to take shape:
1) The top four seeds will come from these six teams - Sallies, Archmere, Cape, Tower, Caesar Rodney and Friends. Still have many games left between the teams in this group that will determine the final order:
Archmere - Tower: May 4 Cape - Caesar Rodney: May 4 Archmere - Caesar Rodney: May 7 Sallies - Tower: May 10 Friends - Archmere: May 10 Sallies - Archmere: May 12 Cape - Tower: May 13
I think all of these teams make it somewhere in the tourney, but it could be at low seed if they lose a few games.
2) Charter is in as a Blue Hen winner (also would make it on their own) and DMA is in at 14-1 or 13-2. Seedings will depend on who else makes it and how some other teams finish their season
3) I count 9 teams that still have a realistic chance for the final four spots:
Appo PolyTech Dover Mount Pleasant McKean St Marks Brandywine Hodgson Sussex Tech
AI DuPont, Newark, Delmar and Concord don't look to have the necessary strength of schedule to end up in the top four of this group. Sussex Tech strength of schedule using the DIAA formula will be super strong - they have a realistic shot even if they finish at 7-8.
There are 8 games remaining where teams in the group above go head to head - those results will determine the four teams that make it through:
Appo - Dover: May 2 Sussex Tech - Dover: May 4 McKean - MtP: May 5 Brandywine - St Marks: May 7 Sussex Tech - Hodgson: May 7 Brandywine - MtP: May 9 Sussex Tech - PolyTech: May 11 McKean - Hodgson: May 12
With the seedings based strictly on math, there is a good chance one or two of these four teams will end up with a seed higher than #9, which means they will get a home game in the first round. It could end up with a Friends, Charter, or Archmere on the road at one of these schools for a first round game.
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